历史演变法原理与演变曲线板

根据杨鉴初的历史演变法原理，对苏皖沪（３０°～３６°Ｎ，１１５°～１２５°Ｅ）１９７１ ～１９９７ 年最大震级（ ＭＳ） 形成的时间序列，先进行迭次平滑，再据这些逐趋光滑的地震活动历史演变曲线的外形特征及数值，找出它们之间的联系规律与各自的变化规律：超前性、近似性、准对称性与渐变性。并根据这些规律性制成时间序列演变曲线板：近似板、旋转板与折迭板，对逐年最大震级进行外延验证，以及对１９９８ 年的最大震级做出预报。结果表明：用演变曲线板量取的时间序列外延预报值，与实况的差值都能小于｜０ ．５｜ 级。     

Age and spatial distribution of the world's oldest trees

Extremely old trees have important roles in providing insights about historical climatic events and supporting cultural values, yet there has been limited work on their global distribution and conservation. We extracted information on 197,855 tree cores from 4854 sites and combined it with other tree age (e.g., the OLDLIST) data from a further 156 sites to determine the age of the world's oldest trees and quantify the factors influencing their global distribution. We found that extremely old trees >1000 years were rare. Among 30 individual trees that exceeded 2000 years old, 27 occurred in high mountains. We modeled maximum tree age with climatic, soil topographic, and anthropogenic variables, and our regression models demonstrated that elevation, human population density, soil carbon content, and mean annual temperature were key determinants of the distribution of the world's oldest trees. Specifically, our model predicted that many of the oldest trees will occur in high-elevation, cold, and arid mountains with limited human disturbance. This pattern was markedly different from that of the tallest trees, which were more likely to occur in relatively more mesic and productive locations. Global warming and expansion of human activities may induce rapid population declines of extremely old trees. New strategies, including targeted establishment of conservation reserves in remote regions, especially those in western parts of China and the United States, are required to protect these trees.     

Investigating feasible sites for multi-purpose small dams in Swat District of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province,Pakistan: socioeconomic and environmental considerations

Environment, Development and Sustainability - The low water storage capacity caused water crisis in Pakistan; therefore, the country needs both small- and large-scale reservoirs to store surplus...     

橡胶坝对河流沉积物氮转化功能基因丰度和营养盐的影响

沉积物氮转化功能微生物是河流脱氮和水体净化的重要生物因素.为探讨橡胶坝对沉积物氮转化功能基因丰度及氮营养盐的影响，本研究以沂河沂水城区蓄水段为研究对象，从橡胶坝前不同距离采集沉积物，利用实时荧光定量PCR（qPCR）方法研究了沉积物的反硝化功能基因（nirS、nirK、nosZ）、厌氧氨氧化功能基因（AMX）和反硝化型甲烷厌氧氧化功能基因（pmoA）的丰度及沉积物营养盐特征.结果表明：橡胶坝促进了沉积物中nirK、nirS、nosZ和pmoA基因的聚集，反硝化功能基因nirK、nirS、nosZ丰度在坝前120 ~330 m范围内较高；橡胶坝促进了沉积物NH4+、NO3-、TN、TP、TOC、有机质（OM）等营养盐的滞留，主要在120 ~360 m区域聚集，多元线性回归模型拟合度较高.相关分析表明，16S rRNA、nirK、nirS、nosZ、pmoA基因丰度与环境因子NH4+、NO3-、TN、OM、TOC、孔隙度呈正相关；PCA分析结果表明，随着沉积物环境因子主成分的增长，氮转化功能基因丰度主成分呈升高趋势.橡胶坝可促进沂河沉积物氮素等营养盐的滞留和氮转化功能微生物的聚集.